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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Rennes

Lille
1 - 1
Rennes

Fonte (16')
Djalo (54'), Bamba (57'), Diakite (74'), Balepa (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bourigeaud (58' pen.)
Wooh (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Lille
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lille 1-1 Rennes

Taking advantage of Lille's depleted left-hand side should be the first port of call for Rennes this weekend, and Genesio will be desperate to see a reaction from his rotated side after their Europa League setback. The visitors' ongoing defensive issues on the road spells success for Lille's main man David, and the hosts will be the much fresher of the two sides, so we can only envisage this one ending all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LilleDrawRennes
36.81% (0.188 0.19) 24.91% (-0.217 -0.22) 38.28% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.07% (0.797 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (1.024 1.02)45.25% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (0.973 0.97)67.59% (-0.96900000000001 -0.97)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.574 0.57)24.18% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.806 0.81)58.51% (-0.802 -0.8)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.479 0.48)23.4% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61% (0.687 0.69)57.39% (-0.684 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Lille 36.81%
    Rennes 38.28%
    Draw 24.91%
LilleDrawRennes
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.105 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.28%

How you voted: Lille vs Rennes

Lille
38.3%
Draw
29.6%
Rennes
32.2%
115
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 8pm
Lille
2-2
Rennes
Weah (11', 88')
Andre (25'), Sanches (57')
Bourigeaud (41'), Guirassy (90+2')
Truffert (43'), Omari (54')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Rennes
1-2
Lille
Bourigeaud (85')
Martin (65'), Genesio (81'), Genesio (82'), Meling (90+1')
Xeka (31'), Sanches (45')
Mandava (89')
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
Rennes
0-1
Lille

N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (22'), Grenier (40')
David (16')
Celik (34'), Andre (90+1')
Aug 22, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-1
Rennes
Bamba (40')
Mandava (43')
Da Silva (74')
Tait (88')
Boey (35')
Feb 4, 2020 6pm
Lille
1-0
Rennes
Remy (4')
Ikone (44'), Remy (56'), Sanches (83')

Traore (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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