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Europa League

Rennes
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient

Rennes
1 - 1
Larnaca

Abline (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopes (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rennes and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1

AEK Larnaca

All competitions
Last Game: Larnaca 3-3 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawAEK Larnaca
64.88% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.09% (0.013000000000002 0.01)13.03% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)55.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)76.57% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.48% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)46.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.74% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)85.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 64.86%
    AEK Larnaca 13.03%
    Draw 22.09%
RennesDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 15.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81%
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 64.86%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.09%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Rennes vs Larnaca

Rennes
89.2%
Draw
8.1%
AEK Larnaca
2.7%
111
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
Group B
Larnaca
1-2
Rennes
Sanjurjo (33')
Theate (29'), Assignon (90+4')
Santamaria (69')