Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AEK Larnaca	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
35.49% ( 0.08)	23.86% ( 0.01)	40.65% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 61.77% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61% (

-0.04)

40.38% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.24% (

-0.04)

62.76% (

0.04)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

0.02)

22.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

0.03)

56.31% (

-0.04)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

-0.06)

20.12% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.61% (

-0.1)

52.39% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

AEK Larnaca 35.49%

Dynamo Kiev 40.65%

Draw 23.86%

AEK Larnaca	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.49%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.65%