Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.