Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.