Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Reims

FT(HT: 0-1)

Munetsi (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reims in this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Reims
33.4% ( -7.38)	28.58% ( 0.02)	38.02% ( 7.36)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.5% (

0.47)

60.5% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.38% (

0.35)

80.61% (

-0.35)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

-4.39)

33.73% (

4.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.61% (

-5.07)

70.39% (

5.07)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

5.23)

30.74% (

-5.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

5.74)

67% (

-5.74)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 33.39%

Reims 38.02%

Draw 28.57%

Ajaccio	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -1.67) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.89) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -1.81) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.7) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -1.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.39%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 12.23% ( 1.44) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 1.07) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 1.7) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.78) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.96) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.02%