Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Reims had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.