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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II
Brest logo

Monaco
1 - 0
Brest

Golovin (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Lyon
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
MonacoDrawBrest
60.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.9% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)65.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)13.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13%36.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.65%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 60.1%
    Brest 18.5%
    Draw 21.38%
MonacoDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.07%
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.5%

How you voted: Monaco vs Brest

Monaco
84.6%
Draw
13.8%
Brest
1.5%
65
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Monaco
4-2
Brest
Ben Yedder (44' pen., 51', 54'), Volland (70')
Golovin (45+3'), Volland (62')
Duverne (10'), Belaili (23')
Herelle (45+3'), Der Zakarian (66')
Oct 31, 2021 4pm
Brest
2-0
Monaco
Mounie (18'), Honorat (79')
Magnetti (53')

Henrique (17'), Kovac (34'), Diop (42'), Ben Yedder (81'), Volland (83')
Feb 28, 2021 12pm
Monaco
2-0
Brest
Jovetic (76'), Volland (90')
Maripan (28'), Diatta (85')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Brest
1-0
Monaco
Faivre (8')
Belkebla (7'), Mounie (68'), Lasne (77')

Martins (37'), Volland (52'), Biancone (72'), Matsima (84')
Apr 11, 2020 7pm
Brest
P-P
Monaco