Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lyon |
31.21% ( 0) | 25.15% ( 0) | 43.64% |
Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% ( 0.01) | 47.59% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( 0.01) | 69.79% ( -0) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.35% ( 0.01) | 28.65% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.53% ( 0.01) | 64.47% ( -0) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( 0) | 21.8% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45% ( 0) | 55% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.81% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |