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Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lyon

Brest
2 - 4
Lyon

Pereira Lage (29'), Mounie (72')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Caqueret (21'), Cherki (32'), Lacazette (35' pen.), Tete (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
31.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)25.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)43.64%
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.79% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)28.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)64.47% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0039999999999978 0)55%
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.21%
    Lyon 43.64%
    Draw 25.15%
BrestDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.21%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.64%

How you voted: Brest vs Lyon

Brest
15.9%
Draw
23.9%
Lyon
60.2%
88
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
Lyon
1-1
Brest
Slimani (62')
Slimani (90+2')
Cardona (43')
Magnetti (67')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Brest
2-3
Lyon
Chardonnet (53'), Cardona (74')
Belkebla (40'), Herelle (90+6')
Paqueta (9'), Aouar (29'), Depay (44' pen.)
De Sciglio (56'), Paqueta (90+6')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Lyon
2-2
Brest
Depay (69' pen.), Cornet (81')
De Sciglio (15'), Lopes (90'), Paqueta (90+6')
Lopes (39' og.), Faivre (90+2' pen.)
Lasne (74')
May 23, 2020 7pm
Lyon
P-P
Brest
rhs 2.0


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