Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Feb 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 3
Lyon

Chardonnet (53'), Cardona (74')
Belkebla (40'), Herelle (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Paqueta (9'), Aouar (29'), Depay (44' pen.)
De Sciglio (56'), Paqueta (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lyon
20.78%	21.41%	57.81%

Both teams to score 58.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.37%

39.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.02%

61.98%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37%

32.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83%

69.18%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.51%

13.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48%

40.53%

Score Analysis

Brest 20.78%

Lyon 57.81%

Draw 21.41%

Brest	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 5.53% 1-0 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.78%	1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 5.54% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 6.6% 0-3 @ 5.9% 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 3.31% 0-4 @ 2.95% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.45% Total : 57.81%

How you voted: Brest vs Lyon

Brest

12.1%

Draw

8.1%

Lyon

79.8%