Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.