Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 2
Monaco

Ouattara (75'), Moffi (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Embolo (61'), Ben Yedder (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Monaco
24.27% ( -0.07)	24.46% ( 0.04)	51.26% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9% (

-0.24)

49.1% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.82% (

-0.22)

71.17% (

0.21)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27% (

-0.19)

34.72% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54% (

-0.2)

71.45% (

0.2)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

-0.09)

19.15% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

-0.14)

50.79% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Lorient 24.27%

Monaco 51.25%

Draw 24.45%

Lorient	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.27%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.25%