Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
41.21% ( 0.77) | 26.66% ( -0.23) | 32.14% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% ( 0.77) | 53.57% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( 0.65) | 75.08% ( -0.64) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.77) | 25.62% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.49% ( 1.03) | 60.51% ( -1.03) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% ( 0.03) | 31.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% ( 0.03) | 67.35% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 32.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |