Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Montpellier

Lorient
0 - 2
Montpellier

FT(HT: 0-2)
Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, November 13 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Reims
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawMontpellier HSC
48.81% (-0.491 -0.49)25.74% (0.143 0.14)25.45% (0.349 0.35)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.71% (-0.292 -0.29)53.28% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.16% (-0.248 -0.25)74.84% (0.25 0.25)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.333 -0.33)21.85% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)55.08% (0.512 0.51)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01% (0.142 0.14)35.99% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23% (0.146 0.15)72.77% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 48.81%
    Montpellier HSC 25.45%
    Draw 25.74%
LorientDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.81%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 25.45%

How you voted: Lorient vs Montpellier

Lorient
76.2%
Draw
15.5%
Montpellier HSC
8.3%
84
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (31'), Innocent (47')
Savanier (56')
Oyongo (60'), Souquet (61')
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Mavididi (28')
Ferri (61'), Mendes (70')
Grbic (9' pen.)
Lemoine (36'), Chalobah (63'), Gravillon (87')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (49'), Le Fee (52')
Skuletic (79')
Savanier (90')
Apr 15, 2017 7pm
Montpellier
2-0
Lorient
Boudebouz (9'), Mbenza (28')
Mounie (76')

Bellugou (2'), Peybernes (55')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!