Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lorient in this match.