Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Angers |
62.91% ( 0.11) | 21.28% ( -0.04) | 15.8% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.16% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.94% ( 0.04) | 47.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.7% ( 0.04) | 69.3% ( -0.04) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( 0.05) | 14.34% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% ( 0.09) | 42.19% ( -0.09) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.4% ( -0.07) | 42.6% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.04% ( -0.06) | 78.95% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 62.9% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.28% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |