Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Lens |
21.19% ( 0.01) | 24.2% | 54.61% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.79% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.82% ( 0.01) | 51.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% ( 0) | 73.02% ( -0.01) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% ( 0.01) | 38.8% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.47% ( 0.01) | 75.53% ( -0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.35% ( -0) | 18.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.04% ( -0) | 49.96% |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.19% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |