Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 29.92% | 26.73% | 43.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% | 54.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% | 75.93% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% | 33.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% | 69.72% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% | 24.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% | 59.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.92% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.34% |