/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fauxlog.png)
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Wissam Ben Yedder
11'
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Eliesse Ben Seghir
30'
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Breel Embolo
82'
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Matthis Abline
68'
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Nuno da Costa
84'
Monaco vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F04%2Fphilippe-clement.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result
Monaco
66.12%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
18.84%
▼
(-0.06)
Auxerre
15.04%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
55.73%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.52%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
37.49%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
40.29%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
59.71%
▼
(-0.17)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5
89.45%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
10.55%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
65.72%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
34.29%
▼
(-0.17)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5
62.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
37.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
25.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
74.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Monaco
66.12%
Draw
18.84%
Auxerre
15.05%
Monaco
2-0
@
10.06%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 66.12%
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 66.12%
Draw
1-1
@
8.73%
▼
(-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.84%
2-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.84%
Auxerre
1-2
@
4.26%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.05%
0-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.05%