Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
3 - 2
Auxerre

Ben Yedder (11'), Ben Seghir (30'), Embolo (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abline (68'), da Costa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Auxerre
66.12% ( 0.13)	18.84% ( -0.06)	15.04% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.52% (

0.16)

37.49% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.29% (

0.17)

59.71% (

-0.16)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.45% (

0.08)

10.55% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.72% (

0.17)

34.29% (

-0.17)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

0.01)

37.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

0.01)

74.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Monaco 66.12%

Auxerre 15.05%

Draw 18.84%

Monaco	Draw	Auxerre
2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 66.12%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.84%	1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.05%