Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
39.91% ( -0.01) | 26.99% ( -0.01) | 33.1% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% ( 0.03) | 54.68% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.99% ( 0.03) | 76.01% ( -0.03) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( 0.01) | 26.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( 0.02) | 62.13% ( -0.02) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.03) | 30.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.03) | 67.25% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |