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Ligue 1

Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Montpellier

Nice
6 - 1
Montpellier

Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Savanier (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille
Monday, January 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
50.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)25.6% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)47.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29%69.71%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.57%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)32.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.3% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 50.05%
    Montpellier HSC 25.6%
    Draw 24.34%
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Nice vs Montpellier

Nice
50.8%
Draw
24.6%
Montpellier HSC
24.6%
65
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
Montpellier
0-0
Nice

Esteve (20'), Wahi (69'), Makouana (90+1')

Lotomba (22'), Boudaoui (32')
Dante (35')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Nice
0-1
Montpellier

Thuram (63'), Bard (77')
Mollet (80')
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
Nice
3-1
Montpellier
Laborde (3'), Boudaoui (6'), Todibo (39'), Claude-Maurice (40')
Mollet (56'), Boudaoui (59'), Wahi (66')
Sep 12, 2020 4pm
Montpellier
3-1
Nice
Laborde (18'), Congre (50', 64')
Dante (69')
Maolida (40'), Dolberg (82')
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
Nice
P-P
Montpellier
rhs 2.0


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