Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
2 - 1
Nice

Terrier (5'), Bourigeaud (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barkley (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 3-1 Rennes
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lens
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Nice
62.08% ( -0.06)	20.72% ( 0.02)	17.19% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.03% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.89% (

-0.05)

42.11% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.49% (

-0.05)

64.51% (

0.05)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.98% (

-0.04)

13.02% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.44% (

-0.07)

39.56% (

0.07)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.12% (

0.01)

37.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.35% (

0.01)

74.66% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Rennes 62.08%

Nice 17.19%

Draw 20.73%

Rennes	Draw	Nice
2-0 @ 10.25% 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 62.08%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.73%	0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.19%