Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 29, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
0 - 0
Lens

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Nice
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Clermont
Saturday, November 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lens
31.91% ( -0.7)	27% ( 0.26)	41.09% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.02% (

-1.21)

54.98% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.74% (

-1.01)

76.25% (

1.01)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

-1.09)

31.91% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

-1.27)

68.35% (

1.27)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

-0.32)

26.33% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

-0.43)

61.47% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Nice 31.91%

Lens 41.09%

Draw 26.99%

Nice	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.91%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.09%