Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 1
Clermont

Said (60'), Fofana (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abdul Samed (39' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Clermont
61.54% ( -0.24)	22.43% ( 0.06)	16.03% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 46.21% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

0.07)

51.3% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

0.06)

73.13% (

-0.06)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

-0.06)

16.2% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31% (

-0.11)

45.69% (

0.11)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.14% (

0.29)

44.86% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.18% (

0.23)

80.82% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Lens 61.53%

Clermont 16.03%

Draw 22.42%

Lens	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.53%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.42%	0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.03%