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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Clermont Foot

Lens
2 - 1
Clermont

Said (60'), Fofana (68')
Abdul Samed (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abdul Samed (39' og.)
Kyei (42'), Gastien (45+1'), Andric (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Clermont

 Les Lanciers have shown plenty of poise on the road so far this season, much more than on home soil, but their quality in the attacking third of late has let them down. Given the form that Lens are currently in, we are tipping the scales in favour of the home team, who have been sharp defensively and in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawClermont
61.54% (-0.242 -0.24) 22.43% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 16.03% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (0.067999999999998 0.07)51.3% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (0.059999999999999 0.06)73.13% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)16.2% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-0.106 -0.11)45.69% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (0.285 0.29)44.86% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (0.228 0.23)80.82% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Lens 61.53%
    Clermont 16.03%
    Draw 22.42%
LensDrawClermont
1-0 @ 13.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 12.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 61.53%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.03%

How you voted: Lens vs Clermont

Lens
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Clermont
6.7%
60
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 4pm
Lens
3-1
Clermont
Danso (39'), Sotoca (45+3'), Haidara (58')
Haidara (82')
Rashani (9')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Clermont
2-2
Lens
Magnin (41'), Bayo (65')
Gastien (9'), Ogier (38'), Gastien (62'), Hamel (81'), Gastien (85'), Dossou (86')
Diaby (84')
Gastien (12' og.), Fofana (47')
Danso (15'), Haidara (36'), Clauss (56'), Frankowski (69'), Jean (90+5')
Jan 25, 2020 2pm
Lens
1-1
Clermont
Jean (71')
Doucoure (15'), Cahuzac (32')
Grbic (56')
Gomis (39'), Hountondji (86')
Aug 27, 2019 8.05pm
Lens
2-2
Clermont
 Lens win 5-4 on penalties
Sotoca (43'), Mesloub (61' pen.)
Mauricio (86'), Doucoure (90')
Rajot (12'), Gonzalez (48')
Zedadka (45'), Cissokho (85'), Jeannin (86')
Zedadka (95')
Aug 10, 2019 2pm
Clermont
1-1
Lens
Grbic (60' pen.)
Gastien (35'), Hountondji (77')
Mauricio (88' pen.)
Michelin (6'), Sotoca (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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