Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier1 - 2Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Montpellier
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Marseille
Overcoming a Lorient side on a slippery slope is one thing, but Montpellier's mettle will be tested to the extreme versus a Marseille team who possess a goal threat from all vicinities. Tudor's prolific crop have developed a penchant for goal-laden performances away from home recently, and while La Paillade can feel optimistic about their chances of scoring, the firepower of Marseille should prove too hot to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
19.67% ( 0.01) | 22.02% ( 0.01) | 58.31% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
