Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 2, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 2
Marseille

Savanier (90+1' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavares (47'), Esteve (61' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Montpellier
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
19.67% ( 0.01)	22.02% ( 0.01)	58.31% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.05% (

-0.01)

43.95% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67% (

-0.01)

66.33% (

0.01)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

36.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

73% (

-0)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

-0.01)

14.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.98% (

-0.02)

43.02% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 19.68%

Marseille 58.31%

Draw 22.02%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.68%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.02%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 58.31%