Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Montpellier
Jan 2, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Marseille
  • Teji Savanier 90'+1' goal
  • goal Nuno Tavares 47'
  • goal Maxime Esteve 61' (OG)

Montpellier HSC vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2022 4.00pm
Lorient 0 - 2 Montpellier
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2022 8.00pm
Marseille 6 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Alexis Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 19.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Marseille 58.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 63.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73% ▼ (-0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 85.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.02% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 19.68%
Draw 22.02%
Marseille 58.31%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.02%
Marseille
0-1 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 58.31%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Marseille
Apr 10, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Montpellier
  • Bamba Dieng 9' goal
  • Cengiz Under 19' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Ferri 18'
  • yellowcard Leo Leroy 66'
  • redcard Jonas Omlin 90'
Coupe de France
Marseille
Jan 29, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Orange Vélodrome
Montpellier
  • Arkadiusz Milik 74' goal
  • Boubacar Kamara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Beni Makouana 80'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Montpellier
Aug 8, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
Marseille
  • Luan Peres 30' goal
  • Gaetan Laborde 34' goal
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 44'
  • goal Cengiz Under 68'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 75'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 80'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Montpellier
Apr 10, 2021 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Marseille
  • Andy Delort 1' goal
  • Florent Mollet 8' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laborde 47' goal
  • Jordan Ferri 76' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laborde 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Thauvin 40'
  • goal Arkadiusz Milik 43'
  • goal Pape Gueye 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Gonzalez 54'
  • redcard Duje Caleta-Car 62'
  • goal Lucas Perrin 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Marseille
Jan 6, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Montpellier
  • Nemanja Radonjic 41' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 80' goal
  • Valere Germain 84' goal
  • goal Florent Mollet 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Montpellier
Mar 14, 2020 4.30pm
Stade de la Mosson
Marseille

Form Data

Lorient 0 - 2 Montpellier
Montpellier 1 - 1 Reims
Clermont 1 - 1 Montpellier
Rennes 3 - 0 Montpellier
Montpellier 1 - 2 Lyon
Lens 1 - 0 Montpellier
Marseille 6 - 1 Toulouse
Monaco 2 - 3 Marseille
Marseille 1 - 0 Lyon
Marseille 1 - 2 Spurs
Strasbourg 2 - 2 Marseille
Frankfurt 2 - 1 Marseille