Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stade René Gaillard
AJ Auxerre

Niort
0 - 4
Auxerre

FT(HT: 0-2)
Perrin (39', 67'), da Costa (43'), Abline (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Niort and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niort

All competitions
Last Game: Niort 0-1 St Etienne
Monday, January 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
NiortDrawAuxerre
25.1% (0.093999999999998 0.09)25.29% (-0.093 -0.09)49.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 51.04% (0.366 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.437 0.44)51.79% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.377 0.38)73.55% (-0.377 -0.38)
Niort Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (0.318 0.32)35.47% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76% (0.33 0.33)72.24% (-0.33 -0.33)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.176 0.18)20.89% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39% (0.273 0.27)53.6% (-0.272 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Niort 25.1%
    Auxerre 49.6%
    Draw 25.29%
NiortDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.1%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 49.6%

How you voted: Niort vs Auxerre

Niort
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Auxerre
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 6pm
Niort
0-1
Auxerre

Merdji (61')
Hein (33')
Bernard (53'), Charbonnier (84')
Sep 11, 2021 6pm
Auxerre
4-0
Niort
Charbonnier (16', 70', 87'), Conte (90+1' og.)
Apr 10, 2021 7pm
Niort
0-4
Auxerre
Lloris (35', 59'), Hein (69'), Coeff (76')
Dec 5, 2020 6pm
Auxerre
6-0
Niort
Le Bihan (4', 50', 82'), Autret (34'), Hein (65'), Sakhi (76')
Arcus (27')

Moutachy (38')
Feb 28, 2020 7pm
Auxerre
3-1
Niort
N'Gando (44'), Sylvestre (46'), Ndom (78')
Bellugou (30')
Arcus (49' og.)
Kilama (75'), Sissoko (85')