Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcus Coco 74' goal

Nantes vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Dec 28, 2022 2.00pm
Troyes 0 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Mostafa Mohamed

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Dec 28, 2022 4.00pm
Auxerre 2 - 3 Monaco
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.

Result

Nantes 48.15% (+0.03)
Draw 23.98% (+0.10)
Auxerre 27.88% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.69% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.83% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 44.18% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 33.45% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 66.55% (+0.53)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 81.53% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 18.48% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 50.33% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 49.68% (+0.34)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 70.76% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 29.24% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 34.81% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 65.2% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Nantes 48.15%
Draw 23.97%
Auxerre 27.88%
Nantes
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.7% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.34% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.97%
Auxerre
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.64% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 27.88%

Head to Head

Coupe de la Ligue
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 75' goal
  • Lucas Deaux 81' yellowcard