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Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
AJ Auxerre
Nantes
1 - 0
Auxerre
Coco (74')
Moutoussamy (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mensah (21'), Camara (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 0-0 Nantes
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre

As Auxerre do not travel well, it seems that Nantes are in prime position to claim maximum points from this bottom-four contest, which could be a tense encounter given both teams' current status. Therefore, a single goal could win it for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.

Result
NantesDrawAuxerre
48.15% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 23.98% (0.099 0.1) 27.88% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.69% (-0.433 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.529 -0.53)44.18% (0.53599999999999 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.517 -0.52)66.55% (0.523 0.52)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.193 -0.19)18.48% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-0.33 -0.33)49.68% (0.338 0.34)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)29.24% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.443 -0.44)65.2% (0.45099999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 48.15%
    Auxerre 27.88%
    Draw 23.97%
NantesDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 27.88%

How you voted: Nantes vs Auxerre

Nantes
71.4%
Draw
16.3%
Auxerre
12.2%
49
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
Fourth Round
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Aristeguieta (75')
Deaux (81')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
5pm
Fils
Medjedovic
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1393134112330
2Nice138501441029
3MonacoMonaco137332719824
4Lille136521711623
5Reims147252019123
6Lens135441613319
7Brest125341414018
8Le HavreLe Havre133731213-116
9Metz134451520-516
10Rennes133641917215
11NantesNantes134361723-615
12Marseille123541314-114
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier133551718-113
14StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
15Toulouse132651317-412
16Lorient132561724-711
17Clermont13247918-910
18Lyon12147921-127

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