Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 0
Auxerre

Coco (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Troyes 0-0 Nantes
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Auxerre
48.15% ( 0.03)	23.98% ( 0.1)	27.88% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.69% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

-0.53)

44.18% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

-0.52)

66.55% (

0.52)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

-0.19)

18.48% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

-0.33)

49.68% (

0.34)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

-0.36)

29.24% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

-0.44)

65.2% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Nantes 48.15%

Auxerre 27.88%

Draw 23.97%

Nantes	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 27.88%