Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Niort had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Niort	Draw	Saint-Etienne
29.1% ( -0.38)	26.91% ( 0.01)	43.99% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 49.19% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37% (

-0.21)

55.63% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21% (

-0.17)

76.79% (

0.17)

Niort Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

-0.4)

34.29% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.43)

70.99% (

0.43)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

0.09)

25.13% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.16% (

0.13)

59.84% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Niort 29.1%

Saint-Etienne 43.98%

Draw 26.9%

Niort	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.1%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.98%