Ligue 2 | Gameweek 17

Dec 30, 2022 at 6.05pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 1
Caen

Charbonnier (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mendy (17' pen.)

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Saint-Etienne and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Annecy 2-1 St Etienne
Monday, December 26 at 4pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Caen
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Caen had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Caen
49.14% ( 1.04)	25.3% ( -0.35)	25.56% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 51.44% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52% (

0.89)

51.48% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

0.77)

73.28% (

-0.77)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

0.82)

20.97% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

1.26)

53.72% (

-1.26)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09% (

-0.1)

34.91% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

-0.1)

71.65% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 49.13%

Caen 25.56%

Draw 25.3%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.13%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.56%