Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
Caen

Bastia
1 - 0
Caen

Bai (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Sochaux 1-0 Bastia
Saturday, November 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 0-0 Annecy
Saturday, November 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawCaen
34.45% (-0.504 -0.5)28.92% (0.049999999999997 0.05)36.63% (0.453 0.45)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41% (-0.196 -0.2)61.59% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56% (-0.146 -0.15)81.43% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)33.59% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.76% (-0.484 -0.48)70.24% (0.48399999999999 0.48)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (0.191 0.19)32.16% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (0.214 0.21)68.64% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 34.44%
    Caen 36.62%
    Draw 28.91%
BastiaDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.8% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Bastia vs Caen

Bastia
21.4%
Draw
71.4%
Caen
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')
Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Santelli (13')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
Mendy (90+1' pen.)
Wadja (71')
Feb 5, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Bastia
2-2
Caen
 Caen win 5-3 on penalties
Poggi (70'), Santelli (117')
Bocognano (8'), Kifoueti (77')
Tchokounte (4'), Ninga (94')
Sankoh (27'), Gradit (41'), Guilbert (84')
Jan 28, 2017 7pm
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Saint-Maximin (26')
Mostefa (45'), Rose (91')
Rodelin (45' pen.)
Da Silva (45'), Adeoti (92')
Aug 27, 2016 7pm
Caen
2-0
Bastia
Feret (64'), Bazile (93')
Ben Yousseff (58')

Mostefa (60'), Crivelli (65'), Bifouma (68'), Marange (85'), Squillaci (88')