Le Havre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Oceane

Le Havre
3 - 0
Bastia

Lloris (23'), Cornette (33'), Lekhal (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Le Havre and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dijon 0-0 Le Havre
Saturday, October 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Annecy 0-2 Bastia
Saturday, October 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawBastia
38.25% (0.073999999999998 0.07)28.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)33.08% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.58% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.13% (0.166 0.17)60.86% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.1% (0.125 0.13)80.89% (-0.123 -0.12)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (0.129 0.13)30.78% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (0.151 0.15)67.05% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.070999999999998 0.07)34.15% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.076000000000001 0.08)70.84% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 38.24%
    Bastia 33.07%
    Draw 28.66%
Le HavreDrawBastia
1-0 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.07%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
Le Havre
2-4
Bastia
Abdelli (9' pen.), Abline (17' pen.)
Toure (70')
Vincent (24'), Schur (29'), Magri (56'), Robic (90+4')
Placide (8'), Sainati (62'), Roncaglia (89')
Aug 28, 2021 6pm
Bastia
0-0
Le Havre

Santelli (18'), Quemper (62')

Richardson (52'), Ba (58')