Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Bastia
46.77% ( 0.9)	25.76% ( -0.74)	27.47% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.99% (

2.77)

52.01% (

-2.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25% (

2.34)

73.75% (

-2.34)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

1.6)

22.23% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

2.35)

55.66% (

-2.36)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.36% (

1.34)

33.64% (

-1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.71% (

1.44)

70.29% (

-1.44)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 46.76%

Bastia 27.47%

Draw 25.76%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.76%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.47%