Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.

Result
Amiens	Draw	Bastia
35.09% ( -0.48)	30.08% ( -0.03)	34.82% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 41.91% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.63% (

0.1)

65.37% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.85% (

0.07)

84.15% (

-0.07)

Amiens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-0.27)

35.17% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-0.28)

71.92% (

0.28)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

0.41)

35.35% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

0.42)

72.1% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Amiens 35.09%

Bastia 34.82%

Draw 30.09%

Amiens	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 35.09%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.09%	0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 34.82%