Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.

Result
Sochaux	Draw	Bastia
43.8%	28.6%	27.6%

Both teams to score 43.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.83%

62.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.14%

81.86%

Sochaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74%

28.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03%

63.97%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.94%

39.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22%

75.77%

Score Analysis

Sochaux 43.79%

Bastia 27.59%

Draw 28.59%

Sochaux	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.29% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.63% Total : 43.79%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.5% Total : 27.59%