Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.48%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.