Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.