Ligue 2 | Gameweek 9

Sep 17, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade Armand Cesari

Bastia
1 - 0
Metz

Salles-Lamonge (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Metz
37.79% ( 2.11)	28.9% ( 0.39)	33.31% ( -2.51)

Both teams to score 44.99% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.39% (

-1.51)

61.6% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.55% (

-1.14)

81.44% (

1.13)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56% (

0.56)

31.44% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.18% (

0.65)

67.81% (

-0.66)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

-2.47)

34.38% (

2.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

-2.73)

71.08% (

2.72)

Score Analysis

Bastia 37.78%

Metz 33.3%

Draw 28.89%

Bastia	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.3%