Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Valenciennes
51.95% ( 0.09)	26.51% ( -0.03)	21.54% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 43.88% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.77% (

0.05)

59.23% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.36% (

0.04)

79.65% (

-0.04)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

0.06)

22.97% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.25% (

0.09)

56.75% (

-0.09)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.96% (

-0.03)

43.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.68% (

-0.02)

79.33% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Metz 51.94%

Valenciennes 21.54%

Draw 26.5%

Metz	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 51.94%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.54%