Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Dijon
38.12% ( -1.16)	29.49% ( -0.27)	32.4% ( 1.44)

Both teams to score 43.25% (

1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.35% (

1.11)

63.65% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.07% (

0.79)

82.94% (

-0.78)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72% (

-0.14)

32.28% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22% (

-0.16)

68.78% (

0.17)

Dijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

1.69)

36.13% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.09% (

1.68)

72.92% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Bastia 38.12%

Dijon 32.39%

Draw 29.48%

Bastia	Draw	Dijon
1-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.48%	0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.96% Total : 32.39%