Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 46.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochaux in this match.

Result
Sochaux	Draw	Bastia
46.95% ( 0.17)	27.53% ( -0.06)	25.52% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 45.09% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.29% (

0.12)

59.71% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

0.09)

80.02% (

-0.09)

Sochaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.14)

25.49% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

0.19)

60.34% (

-0.19)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

-0.03)

39.48% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.82% (

-0.03)

76.17% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sochaux 46.95%

Bastia 25.52%

Draw 27.52%

Sochaux	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 13.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.52%