Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.