Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 48.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Laval had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.