Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.