Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paris FC in this match.