Ligue 2 | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Césari
Bordeaux

Bastia
1 - 1
Bordeaux

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ihnatenko (83')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Bordeaux.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 3-0 Bastia
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bordeaux 2-0 Metz
Saturday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawBordeaux
35.5% (-0.949 -0.95)27.71% (-0.225 -0.22)36.79% (1.176 1.18)
Both teams to score 48.67% (0.685 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (0.85 0.85)57.16% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.675 0.68)78.02% (-0.673 -0.67)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)30.63% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.203 -0.2)66.87% (0.205 0.2)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (1.158 1.16)29.83% (-1.157 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (1.378 1.38)65.92% (-1.377 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 35.5%
    Bordeaux 36.78%
    Draw 27.7%
BastiaDrawBordeaux
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.274 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.209 0.21)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.208 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.182 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.166 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.099 0.1)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.78%

How you voted: Bastia vs Bordeaux

Bastia
6.1%
Draw
33.3%
Bordeaux
60.6%
33
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2017 7pm
Bordeaux
2-0
Bastia
Malcom (55'), Sankhare (69')
Lewczuk (25')

Mostefa (26'), El Kaoutari (68'), Diallo (84')
El Kaoutari (75')
Nov 30, 2016 6pm
Bastia
1-1
Bordeaux
Bifouma (49')
Danic (40')
Marange (82')
Laborde (78')
Kiese Thelin (3'), Kamano (34'), Menez (81'), Ounas (83')
Mar 20, 2016 1pm
Bordeaux
1-1
Bastia
Contento (82')
Rolan (42'), Crivelli (45')
Ngando (85')
Peybernes (45'), Fofana (54')
Dec 2, 2015 6pm
Jan 24, 2015 7pm
Bastia
0-0
Bordeaux

Leca (45'), Squillaci (45'), Cahuzac (55')
Cahuzac (62')

Thelin (45'), Contento (87')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!