Ligue 2 | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser
Caen

Valenciennes
1 - 1
Caen

Cuffaut (39' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendy (23')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valenciennes

All competitions
Last Game: Grenoble 1-0 Valenciennes
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 2-0 Rodez AF
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
ValenciennesDrawCaen
34.43% (0.050000000000004 0.05)29.22% (0.012 0.01)36.36% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.23% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)82.17% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.13% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)70.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)32.85% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)69.42% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 34.42%
    Caen 36.36%
    Draw 29.21%
ValenciennesDrawCaen
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.21%
0-1 @ 12.48%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.36%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Caen
1-1
Valenciennes
Bammou (52' pen.)
Deminguet (31'), Mendy (86')
Guel (5')
Pellenard (34'), Spano (51'), Ntim (65')
Sep 26, 2020 6pm
Valenciennes
1-0
Caen
Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')

Deminguet (44')
Mar 13, 2020 7pm
Valenciennes
P-P
Caen