Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 40.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grenoble in this match.