Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 14, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
1 - 0
Auxerre

Frankowski (59' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 0-5 Toulouse
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Auxerre
63.01% ( 0.2)	20.62% ( -0.09)	16.37% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.87% (

0.22)

43.13% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.47% (

0.21)

65.53% (

-0.21)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.94% (

0.13)

13.07% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.35% (

0.26)

39.66% (

-0.26)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.5% (

39.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.81% (

76.19% (

Score Analysis

Lens 63%

Auxerre 16.37%

Draw 20.62%

Lens	Draw	Auxerre
2-0 @ 10.68% 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 63%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.62%	0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 16.37%