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Lens vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Lens
63.01%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
20.62%
▼
(-0.10)
Auxerre
16.37%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
52.6%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.87%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
43.13%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
34.47%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
65.53%
▼
(-0.22)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
86.94%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
13.07%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
60.35%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
39.66%
▼
(-0.26)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5
60.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
39.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
23.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
76.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Lens
63%
Draw
20.62%
Auxerre
16.37%
Lens
2-0
@
10.68%
1-0 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 63%
1-0 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 63%
Draw
1-1
@
9.76%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.62%
0-0 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.62%
Auxerre
0-1
@
4.79%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43%
1-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 16.37%
1-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43%
1-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 16.37%
