Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
16.7% ( 0.02) | 20.57% ( 0.02) | 62.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% ( -0.04) | 42.28% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.32% ( -0.05) | 64.68% ( 0.05) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.43% | 38.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( -0) | 75.32% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.02) | 12.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% ( -0.05) | 39.28% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.7% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.57% | 0-2 @ 10.43% 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 62.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |