Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 16.7% ( | 20.57% ( | 62.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% ( | 42.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( | 64.68% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% | 38.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( | 12.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.72% ( | 39.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 4.73% ( 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-1 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.7% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.57% | 0-2 @ 10.43% 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-3 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0-4 @ 3.65% ( 1-4 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 1-5 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 62.73% |