Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 3-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
73.89% ( -0.06) | 14.98% ( 0.03) | 11.13% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.82% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.85% ( -0.05) | 28.14% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.08% ( -0.06) | 48.92% ( 0.06) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.49% ( -0.02) | 6.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.7% ( -0.06) | 24.29% ( 0.06) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.92% ( 0.01) | 37.08% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.13% ( 0.01) | 73.87% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.77% Total : 73.89% | 1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.98% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 11.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |