Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Marquinhos (14'), Mbappe (90+6' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marquinhos (51' og.)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Quevilly
Wednesday, December 21 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, November 13 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 3-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Strasbourg
73.89% ( -0.06)	14.98% ( 0.03)	11.13% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.82% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.85% (

-0.05)

28.14% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.08% (

-0.06)

48.92% (

0.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.49% (

-0.02)

6.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.7% (

-0.06)

24.29% (

0.06)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

0.01)

37.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.13% (

0.01)

73.87% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 73.89%

Strasbourg 11.13%

Draw 14.98%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Strasbourg
2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.77% Total : 73.89%	1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.98%	1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 11.13%