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Friendlies
Dec 16, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Paris FC

Mukiele (16'), Gharbi (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
El Hannach (61' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Paris FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paris FC 1-4 Metz
Saturday, November 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Paris FC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawParis FC
73.36% (-1.375 -1.38)15.43% (0.539 0.54)11.21% (0.839 0.84)
Both teams to score 57.1% (1.046 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.68% (-0.181 -0.18)30.32% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.43% (-0.216 -0.22)51.57% (0.218 0.22)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.89% (-0.303 -0.3)7.11% (0.3061 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.1% (-0.81700000000001 -0.82)25.9% (0.819 0.82)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (1.324 1.32)38.53% (-1.32 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (1.243 1.24)75.28% (-1.239 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 73.36%
    Paris FC 11.21%
    Draw 15.43%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawParis FC
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 8.44% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 8.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 5.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.124 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
5-1 @ 2.81% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.54% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.34%
6-0 @ 1.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
6-1 @ 1.24% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 73.36%
1-1 @ 6.91% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.209 0.21)
0-0 @ 2.74% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.43%
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.21 0.21)
0-1 @ 2.61% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.25% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 11.21%

How you voted: PSG vs Paris FC

Paris Saint-Germain
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Paris FC
7.1%
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